Portugal HubThe national team now has a 6.71% chance of winning the 2026 World Cup. After drawing with the Congo DR (1-1) in the opening match of the 2026 World Cup, Portugal defeated Uzbekistan (5-0) and regained position in the probability tables.
What happened?
The national team now has a 6.71% chance of winning the competition, almost one percentage point more than after the first round.
Why is this important for Portugal?
After two rounds, Portugal and Colombia share the probabilities of finishing top of Group K (50-50). However, the 5.75 expected points calculated by Opta suggest that the most likely outcome is a draw, which would leave the South Americans in first place.
What's next?
In addition, Portugal's chances of advancing to the round of 16 are now around 100%. The qualification is not yet mathematical, but it is so likely that it causes a slight increase in the numbers for the next phases.
| Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Congo DR | 1-1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Colombia | - |
The national team may also cross paths with teams from Groups D, E, I, and J. On the right side of the competitive frame, Portugal could face Switzerland in the round of 16, Argentina in the quarterfinals, and eventually Brazil or England in the semifinals.
Latest statistics
Recent form (last 5): 3W-2D-0L (DWWWD, most recent first); unbeaten in the last 5. Next fixture: vs Colombia (away, 2026-06-27). Last result: Portugal 1-1 Congo DR (2026-06-17).
